MoneyballNFL

Simulated Projected ML, Spreads, Totals, Kalshi & Public Betting Splits

🏈 TD Model 🔥 Trending 🏆 NFL Model 🎓 CFB Model 🏒 NHL Model ⚾ MLB Model
REGULAR SEASON ENGINE 14 Matchups Simulated (10,000 Sims/Game)
10,000 Sims / Game
🎯 Top Spread Edge
TB +3.5
TB @ CAR • +4.4 pts Edge on TB
🔥 Top Total (O/U) Edge
UNDER 50.5
NE @ CHI • Model projects 41.1 (-9.4 pts Under)
💎 Top Moneyline Edge
TB ML (+154)
TB @ CAR • +14.0% Edge
🎯 Top Handle Divergence
GB Packers (+51.0%)
GB @ DET • 💵 82.0% vs 🎟️ 31.0% (Sharp Inflow)
🏛️ Top Kalshi Edge
CAR (60.5%)
TB @ CAR • +13.9% Edge
NE @ CHI • Thu, October 22nd at 8:15 PM EDT
📍 Soldier Field (72°F, 5 mph wind)
🔥 BEST TOTAL 🎯 SHARP SPREAD CHI -3 (+6% Handle) 🔥 HIGH DIVERGENCE Over 50.5 (+28%) 🏛️ Kalshi CHI 59.5% | ⚡+3.1%
New England Patriots
DraftKings ML: +130 • Net EPA: -0.32
18.5 - 22.6
Model Projected Score
Chicago Bears
DraftKings ML: -155 • Net EPA: -0.17
Spread Market vs Model
⭐ Neutral / Pass
Mkt: CHI -3.0 | Model: CHI -4.1 (Aligned with Market)
Game Total Points (O/U)
🔥 BEST BET
❄️ UNDER 50.5
Mkt: O/U 50.5 | Model: 41.1 (Model projects 41.1 (-9.4 pts Under))
Moneyline Model Pick
⭐ MODEL PICK
💎 CHI ML (-155)
Fair Odds: -167 (+1.8% Edge)
🏛️ Kalshi: CHI 59.5% (⚡+3.1% Model Edge)
🎲 Win Probability Split 10,000 Monte Carlo Sims • Fair Moneyline Odds
NE Win: 37.4% (+167) CHI Win: 62.6% (-167)
NE EPA: Pass -0.32 • Rush -0.04
CHI EPA: Pass -0.17 • Rush -0.04
👑 Public Betting Splits (DraftKings Sportsbook Consensus) DraftKings Splits
🎟️ % of Bets vs 💵 % of Money 💡 Green = High Handle Divergence
🛡️ Point Spread Splits
CHI Bears -3 (-102) 🎯 SHARP (+6%)
🎟️ Bets
28%
💵 Money
34%
NE Patriots +3 (-118) 🤝 CONSENSUS
🎟️ Bets
72%
💵 Money
66%
🔥 Game Total (O/U) Splits
Over 50.5 (-115) 🔥 HIGH DIVERGENCE (+28%)
🎟️ Bets
50%
💵 Money
78%
Under 50.5 (-105)
🎟️ Bets
50%
💵 Money
22%
💎 Moneyline Splits
CHI Bears (-155) ⚖️ NEUTRAL
🎟️ Bets
18%
💵 Money
16%
NE Patriots (+130) 🤝 CONSENSUS
🎟️ Bets
82%
💵 Money
84%
🏛️ Kalshi Prediction Markets (CFTC Regulated Exchange) Kalshi Live
🏛️ % Kalshi Implied vs 🤖 % Model Trade on Kalshi ↗
🛡️ Point Spread Markets (-3.5)
CHI -3.5 ⚡ +7.4% Edge
🏛️ Kalshi
44.5%
🤖 Model
51.9%
NE +3.5 -7.4%
🏛️ Kalshi
55.5%
🤖 Model
48.1%
🔥 Game Total Markets (O/U 50.5)
Over 50.5 -29.8%
🏛️ Kalshi
51.5%
🤖 Model
21.7%
Under 50.5 ⚡ +29.8% Edge
🏛️ Kalshi
48.5%
🤖 Model
78.3%
💎 Moneyline Win Markets
CHI Win ⚡ +3.1% Edge
🏛️ Kalshi
59.5%
🤖 Model
62.6%
NE Win
🏛️ Kalshi
40.5%
🤖 Model
37.4%
👥 Active Lineups & Injury Impact ⚡ Live Depth Charts
Real-time Starters & Net EPA Calibration View Starters ▼
✈️ New England Patriots Starters 🔴 47.2% Health • Key Inactives
🏠 Chicago Bears Starters 🔴 49.6% Health • Key Inactives
✈️ New England Patriots Starters 🔴 47.2% Health • Key Inactives
POS STARTER STATUS
QB1 Drake Maye 🟢 Active
RB1 Rhamondre Stevenson 🟢 Active
RB2 TreVeyon Henderson 🟢 Active
WR1 A.J. Brown 🟢 Active
WR2 Romeo Doubs 🔴 IR
WR3 DeMario Douglas 🟢 Active
TE1 Hunter Henry 🟢 Active
⚠️ Injury Impact: QB Behren Morton (Out), WR2 Romeo Doubs (IR)
🏠 Chicago Bears Starters 🔴 49.6% Health • Key Inactives
POS STARTER STATUS
QB1 Caleb Williams 🟢 Active
RB1 D'Andre Swift 🟢 Active
RB2 Roschon Johnson 🟢 Active
WR1 Luther Burden 🟢 Active
WR2 Rome Odunze 🟢 Active
WR3 Kalif Raymond 🟢 Active
TE1 Colston Loveland 🟢 Active
⚠️ Injury Impact: QB Case Keenum (Out), RB3 Brittain Brown (IR)
PIT @ NO • Sun, October 25th at 9:30 AM EDT
📍 Stade de France (72°F, 5 mph wind)
🔥 BEST TOTAL 🎯 SHARP SPREAD NO +3.5 (+11% Handle) 🔥 SHARP TOTAL Over 44.5 (+9% Handle) 💎 SHARP ML NO Saints (+18% Handle) 🏛️ Kalshi PIT 62.5% | ⚡+5.5%
Pittsburgh Steelers
DraftKings ML: -185 • Net EPA: -0.21
20.3 - 18.1
Model Projected Score
New Orleans Saints
DraftKings ML: +154 • Net EPA: -0.22
Spread Market vs Model
⭐ Neutral / Pass
Mkt: NO +3.5 | Model: NO +2.2 (Aligned with Market)
Game Total Points (O/U)
🔥 BEST BET
❄️ UNDER 44.5
Mkt: O/U 44.5 | Model: 38.4 (Model projects 38.4 (-6.1 pts Under))
Moneyline Model Pick
💎 PIT ML (-185)
Fair Odds: -133 (57.0% Win Prob)
🏛️ Kalshi: PIT 62.5% (⚡-5.5% Model Edge)
🎲 Win Probability Split 10,000 Monte Carlo Sims • Fair Moneyline Odds
PIT Win: 57.0% (-133) NO Win: 43.0% (+133)
PIT EPA: Pass -0.21 • Rush +0.02
NO EPA: Pass -0.22 • Rush -0.07
👑 Public Betting Splits (DraftKings Sportsbook Consensus) DraftKings Splits
🎟️ % of Bets vs 💵 % of Money 💡 Green = High Handle Divergence
🛡️ Point Spread Splits
PIT Steelers -3.5 (-102)
🎟️ Bets
43%
💵 Money
32%
NO Saints +3.5 (-118) 🎯 SHARP (+11%)
🎟️ Bets
57%
💵 Money
68%
🔥 Game Total (O/U) Splits
Over 44.5 (-110) 🎯 SHARP (+9%)
🎟️ Bets
91%
💵 Money
100%
Under 44.5 (-110)
🎟️ Bets
9%
💵 Money
0%
💎 Moneyline Splits
NO Saints (+145) 🎯 SHARP (+18%)
🎟️ Bets
36%
💵 Money
54%
PIT Steelers (-175)
🎟️ Bets
64%
💵 Money
46%
🏛️ Kalshi Prediction Markets (CFTC Regulated Exchange) Kalshi Live
🏛️ % Kalshi Implied vs 🤖 % Model Trade on Kalshi ↗
🛡️ Point Spread Markets (-3.5)
PIT -3.5
🏛️ Kalshi
46.5%
🤖 Model
45.9%
NO +3.5
🏛️ Kalshi
53.5%
🤖 Model
54.1%
🔥 Game Total Markets (O/U 44.5)
Over 44.5 -18.9%
🏛️ Kalshi
49.5%
🤖 Model
30.6%
Under 44.5 ⚡ +18.9% Edge
🏛️ Kalshi
50.5%
🤖 Model
69.4%
💎 Moneyline Win Markets
NO Win ⚡ +5.5% Edge
🏛️ Kalshi
37.5%
🤖 Model
43.0%
PIT Win -5.5%
🏛️ Kalshi
62.5%
🤖 Model
57.0%
👥 Active Lineups & Injury Impact ⚡ Live Depth Charts
Real-time Starters & Net EPA Calibration View Starters ▼
✈️ Pittsburgh Steelers Starters 🔴 52.0% Health • Key Inactives
🏠 New Orleans Saints Starters 🔴 49.6% Health • Key Inactives
✈️ Pittsburgh Steelers Starters 🔴 52.0% Health • Key Inactives
POS STARTER STATUS
QB1 Aaron Rodgers 🟢 Active
RB1 Jaylen Warren 🟢 Active
RB2 Rico Dowdle 🟢 Active
WR1 DK Metcalf 🟢 Active
WR2 Germie Bernard 🟢 Active
WR3 Kaden Wetjen 🟢 Active
TE1 Pat Freiermuth 🟢 Active
⚠️ Injury Impact: QB Will Howard (Out), QB Drew Allar (Out), WR4 Michael Pittman (IR)
🏠 New Orleans Saints Starters 🔴 49.6% Health • Key Inactives
POS STARTER STATUS
QB1 Tyler Shough 🟢 Active
RB1 Alvin Kamara 🟡 Questionable
RB2 Kendre Miller 🟢 Active
WR1 Chris Olave 🟢 Active
WR2 Devaughn Vele 🟢 Active
WR3 Bryce Lance 🟢 Active
TE1 Juwan Johnson 🟢 Active
⚠️ Injury Impact: QB Zach Wilson (Out), RB1 Alvin Kamara (Questionable)
CIN @ BAL • Sun, October 25th at 1:00 PM EDT
📍 M&T Bank Stadium (72°F, 5 mph wind)
🎯 SHARP SPREAD CIN -1.5 (+15% Handle) 🔥 SHARP TOTAL Over 48.5 (+8% Handle) 🏛️ Kalshi CIN 51.5% | ⚡+10.3%
Cincinnati Bengals
DraftKings ML: +130 • Net EPA: +0.05
23.0 - 25.9
Model Projected Score
Baltimore Ravens
DraftKings ML: -155 • Net EPA: -0.06
Spread Market vs Model
⭐ Neutral / Pass
Mkt: BAL -3.0 | Model: BAL -2.9 (Aligned with Market)
Game Total Points (O/U)
❄️ UNDER 51.5
Mkt: O/U 51.5 | Model: 48.9 (Model projects 48.9 (-2.6 pts Under))
Moneyline Model Pick
⭐ MODEL PICK
💎 BAL ML (-155)
Fair Odds: -143 (58.8% Win Prob)
🏛️ Kalshi: CIN 51.5% (⚡-10.3% Model Edge)
🎲 Win Probability Split 10,000 Monte Carlo Sims • Fair Moneyline Odds
CIN Win: 41.2% (+143) BAL Win: 58.8% (-143)
CIN EPA: Pass +0.05 • Rush -0.1
BAL EPA: Pass -0.06 • Rush +0.15
👑 Public Betting Splits (DraftKings Sportsbook Consensus) DraftKings Splits
🎟️ % of Bets vs 💵 % of Money 💡 Green = High Handle Divergence
🛡️ Point Spread Splits
CIN Bengals -1.5 (+100) 🎯 SHARP (+15%)
🎟️ Bets
76%
💵 Money
91%
BAL Ravens +1.5 (-120)
🎟️ Bets
24%
💵 Money
9%
🔥 Game Total (O/U) Splits
Over 48.5 (-110) 🎯 SHARP (+8%)
🎟️ Bets
75%
💵 Money
83%
Under 48.5 (-110)
🎟️ Bets
25%
💵 Money
17%
💎 Moneyline Splits
BAL Ravens (+102) ⚖️ NEUTRAL
🎟️ Bets
37%
💵 Money
39%
CIN Bengals (-122) ⚖️ NEUTRAL
🎟️ Bets
63%
💵 Money
61%
🏛️ Kalshi Prediction Markets (CFTC Regulated Exchange) Kalshi Live
🏛️ % Kalshi Implied vs 🤖 % Model Trade on Kalshi ↗
🛡️ Point Spread Markets (+3.5)
CIN +3.5 -13.6%
🏛️ Kalshi
65.5%
🤖 Model
51.9%
BAL -3.5 ⚡ +13.6% Edge
🏛️ Kalshi
34.5%
🤖 Model
48.1%
🔥 Game Total Markets (O/U 51.5)
Over 51.5 ⚡ +2.9% Edge
🏛️ Kalshi
38.5%
🤖 Model
41.4%
Under 51.5
🏛️ Kalshi
61.5%
🤖 Model
58.6%
💎 Moneyline Win Markets
BAL Win ⚡ +10.3% Edge
🏛️ Kalshi
48.5%
🤖 Model
58.8%
CIN Win -10.3%
🏛️ Kalshi
51.5%
🤖 Model
41.2%
👥 Active Lineups & Injury Impact ⚡ Live Depth Charts
Real-time Starters & Net EPA Calibration View Starters ▼
✈️ Cincinnati Bengals Starters 🟢 100.0% Health • Full Strength
🏠 Baltimore Ravens Starters 🔴 47.2% Health • Key Inactives
✈️ Cincinnati Bengals Starters 🟢 100.0% Health • Full Strength
POS STARTER STATUS
QB1 Joe Burrow 🟢 Active
RB1 Chase Brown 🟢 Active
RB2 Samaje Perine 🟢 Active
WR1 Ja'Marr Chase 🟢 Active
WR2 Tee Higgins 🟢 Active
WR3 Dohnte Meyers 🟢 Active
TE1 Mike Gesicki 🟢 Active
🏠 Baltimore Ravens Starters 🔴 47.2% Health • Key Inactives
POS STARTER STATUS
QB1 Tyler Huntley 🟢 Active
RB1 Derrick Henry 🟢 Active
RB2 Justice Hill 🟢 Active
WR1 Zay Flowers 🟢 Active
WR2 Rashod Bateman 🔴 Out
WR3 Ja'Kobi Lane 🟢 Active
TE1 Mark Andrews 🟢 Active
⚠️ Injury Impact: QB Lamar Jackson (Out), QB Skylar Thompson (IR), WR2 Rashod Bateman (Out)
CLE @ TEN • Sun, October 25th at 1:00 PM EDT
📍 Nissan Stadium (72°F, 5 mph wind)
💎 BEST ML 🎯 SHARP SPREAD CLE -1.5 (+9% Handle) 🔥 HIGH DIVERGENCE Under 37.5 (+44%) 🏛️ Kalshi CLE 54.0% | ⚡+8.6%
Cleveland Browns
DraftKings ML: -125 • Net EPA: -0.192
17.0 - 18.2
Model Projected Score
Tennessee Titans
DraftKings ML: +105 • Net EPA: -0.032
Spread Market vs Model
⭐ TEN +1.5
Mkt: TEN +1.5 | Model: TEN -1.2 (+2.7 pts Edge on TEN)
Game Total Points (O/U)
❄️ UNDER 38.5
Mkt: O/U 38.5 | Model: 35.2 (Model projects 35.2 (-3.3 pts Under))
Moneyline Model Pick
🎯 SHARP ACTION (+5%)
💎 TEN ML (+105)
Fair Odds: -118 (+5.3% Edge)
🏛️ Kalshi: CLE 54.0% (⚡-8.1% Model Edge)
🎲 Win Probability Split 10,000 Monte Carlo Sims • Fair Moneyline Odds
CLE Win: 45.9% (+118) TEN Win: 54.1% (-118)
CLE EPA: Pass -0.192 • Rush -0.008
TEN EPA: Pass -0.032 • Rush -0.012
👑 Public Betting Splits (DraftKings Sportsbook Consensus) DraftKings Splits
🎟️ % of Bets vs 💵 % of Money 💡 Green = High Handle Divergence
🛡️ Point Spread Splits
CLE Browns -1.5 (-110) 🎯 SHARP (+9%)
🎟️ Bets
82%
💵 Money
91%
TEN Titans +1.5 (-110)
🎟️ Bets
18%
💵 Money
9%
🔥 Game Total (O/U) Splits
Over 37.5 (-105)
🎟️ Bets
47%
💵 Money
3%
Under 37.5 (-115) 🔥 HIGH DIVERGENCE (+44%)
🎟️ Bets
53%
💵 Money
97%
💎 Moneyline Splits
TEN Titans (+110)
🎟️ Bets
18%
💵 Money
23%
CLE Browns (-130) 🤝 CONSENSUS
🎟️ Bets
82%
💵 Money
77%
🏛️ Kalshi Prediction Markets (CFTC Regulated Exchange) Kalshi Live
🏛️ % Kalshi Implied vs 🤖 % Model Trade on Kalshi ↗
🛡️ Point Spread Markets (-1.5)
CLE -1.5 -8.1%
🏛️ Kalshi
49.5%
🤖 Model
41.4%
TEN +1.5 ⚡ +8.1% Edge
🏛️ Kalshi
50.5%
🤖 Model
58.6%
🔥 Game Total Markets (O/U 38.5)
Over 38.5 -6.3%
🏛️ Kalshi
45.5%
🤖 Model
39.2%
Under 38.5 ⚡ +6.3% Edge
🏛️ Kalshi
54.5%
🤖 Model
60.8%
💎 Moneyline Win Markets
TEN Win ⚡ +8.6% Edge
🏛️ Kalshi
45.5%
🤖 Model
54.1%
CLE Win -8.1%
🏛️ Kalshi
54.0%
🤖 Model
45.9%
👥 Active Lineups & Injury Impact ⚡ Live Depth Charts
Real-time Starters & Net EPA Calibration View Starters ▼
✈️ Cleveland Browns Starters 🔴 56.8% Health • Key Inactives
🏠 Tennessee Titans Starters 🟢 100.0% Health • Full Strength
✈️ Cleveland Browns Starters 🔴 56.8% Health • Key Inactives
POS STARTER STATUS
QB1 Deshaun Watson 🟢 Active
RB1 Jaleel McLaughlin 🟢 Active
RB2 Audric Estime 🟢 Active
WR1 Denzel Boston 🟢 Active
WR2 KC Concepcion 🟢 Active
WR3 Jerry Jeudy 🟢 Active
TE1 Harold Fannin 🟢 Active
⚠️ Injury Impact: QB Dillon Gabriel (IR), QB Taylen Green (Out)
🏠 Tennessee Titans Starters 🟢 100.0% Health • Full Strength
POS STARTER STATUS
QB1 Cam Ward 🟢 Active
RB1 Tony Pollard 🟢 Active
RB2 Tyjae Spears 🟢 Active
WR1 Carnell Tate 🟢 Active
WR2 Wan'Dale Robinson 🟢 Active
WR3 Elic Ayomanor 🟢 Active
TE1 Gunnar Helm 🟢 Active
IND @ MIN • Sun, October 25th at 1:00 PM EDT
📍 U.S. Bank Stadium (Dome)
🔥 BEST TOTAL 🎯 SHARP SPREAD IND +6.5 (+17% Handle) 🔥 HIGH DIVERGENCE Under 41.5 (+43%) 💎 SHARP ML IND Colts (+6% Handle) 🏛️ Kalshi MIN 71.5% | ⚡+8.0%
Indianapolis Colts
DraftKings ML: +225 • Net EPA: -0.184
15.8 - 19.8
Model Projected Score
Minnesota Vikings
DraftKings ML: -278 • Net EPA: -0.188
Spread Market vs Model
⭐ IND +6.5
Mkt: MIN -6.5 | Model: MIN -4.0 (+2.5 pts Edge on IND)
Game Total Points (O/U)
🔥 BEST BET
❄️ UNDER 41.5
Mkt: O/U 41.5 | Model: 35.6 (Model projects 35.6 (-5.9 pts Under))
Moneyline Model Pick
🤝 CONSENSUS (87% Money)
💎 MIN ML (-278)
Fair Odds: -174 (63.5% Win Prob)
🏛️ Kalshi: MIN 71.5% (⚡-8.0% Model Edge)
🎲 Win Probability Split 10,000 Monte Carlo Sims • Fair Moneyline Odds
IND Win: 36.5% (+174) MIN Win: 63.5% (-174)
IND EPA: Pass -0.184 • Rush +0.012
MIN EPA: Pass -0.188 • Rush -0.026
👑 Public Betting Splits (DraftKings Sportsbook Consensus) DraftKings Splits
🎟️ % of Bets vs 💵 % of Money 💡 Green = High Handle Divergence
🛡️ Point Spread Splits
MIN Vikings -6.5 (-108)
🎟️ Bets
61%
💵 Money
44%
IND Colts +6.5 (-112) 🎯 SHARP (+17%)
🎟️ Bets
39%
💵 Money
56%
🔥 Game Total (O/U) Splits
Over 41.5 (-110) 👥 PUBLIC TRAP
🎟️ Bets
70%
💵 Money
27%
Under 41.5 (-110) 🔥 HIGH DIVERGENCE (+43%)
🎟️ Bets
30%
💵 Money
73%
💎 Moneyline Splits
MIN Vikings (-278) 🤝 CONSENSUS
🎟️ Bets
93%
💵 Money
87%
IND Colts (+225) 🎯 SHARP (+6%)
🎟️ Bets
7%
💵 Money
13%
🏛️ Kalshi Prediction Markets (CFTC Regulated Exchange) Kalshi Live
🏛️ % Kalshi Implied vs 🤖 % Model Trade on Kalshi ↗
🛡️ Point Spread Markets (-6.5)
MIN -6.5 -6.4%
🏛️ Kalshi
48.5%
🤖 Model
42.1%
IND +6.5 ⚡ +6.4% Edge
🏛️ Kalshi
51.5%
🤖 Model
57.9%
🔥 Game Total Markets (O/U 41.5)
Over 41.5 -18.9%
🏛️ Kalshi
50.0%
🤖 Model
31.1%
Under 41.5 ⚡ +18.9% Edge
🏛️ Kalshi
50.0%
🤖 Model
68.9%
💎 Moneyline Win Markets
MIN Win -8.0%
🏛️ Kalshi
71.5%
🤖 Model
63.5%
IND Win ⚡ +8.0% Edge
🏛️ Kalshi
28.5%
🤖 Model
36.5%
👥 Active Lineups & Injury Impact ⚡ Live Depth Charts
Real-time Starters & Net EPA Calibration View Starters ▼
✈️ Indianapolis Colts Starters 🔴 56.8% Health • Key Inactives
🏠 Minnesota Vikings Starters 🔴 40.0% Health • Key Inactives
✈️ Indianapolis Colts Starters 🔴 56.8% Health • Key Inactives
POS STARTER STATUS
QB1 Daniel Jones 🟢 Active
RB1 Jonathan Taylor 🟢 Active
RB2 Seth McGowan 🟢 Active
WR1 Josh Downs 🟢 Active
WR2 Keenan Allen 🟢 Active
WR3 Laquon Treadwell 🟢 Active
TE1 Mo Alie-Cox 🟢 Active
⚠️ Injury Impact: QB Riley Leonard (Out)
🏠 Minnesota Vikings Starters 🔴 40.0% Health • Key Inactives
POS STARTER STATUS
QB1 Kyler Murray 🟢 Active
RB1 Aaron Jones 🟡 Questionable
RB2 Demond Claiborne 🟢 Active
WR1 Justin Jefferson 🟢 Active
WR2 Jauan Jennings 🟢 Active
WR3 Tai Felton 🟢 Active
TE1 T.J. Hockenson 🔴 Out
⚠️ Injury Impact: QB Max Brosmer (Out), RB1 Aaron Jones (Questionable), TE1 T.J. Hockenson (Out)
MIA @ NYJ • Sun, October 25th at 1:00 PM EDT
📍 MetLife Stadium (72°F, 5 mph wind)
🎯 SHARP SPREAD MIA +4.5 (+15% Handle) 🔥 HIGH DIVERGENCE Under 39.5 (+26%) 💎 SHARP ML NY Jets (+9% Handle) 🏛️ Kalshi NYJ 66.5% | ⚡+1.8%
Miami Dolphins
DraftKings ML: +190 • Net EPA: -0.044
16.7 - 21.0
Model Projected Score
New York Jets
DraftKings ML: -230 • Net EPA: +0.036
Spread Market vs Model
⭐ Neutral / Pass
Mkt: NYJ -4.5 | Model: NYJ -4.3 (Aligned with Market)
Game Total Points (O/U)
❄️ Neutral / Pass
Mkt: O/U 38.5 | Model: 37.7 (Aligned with Market)
Moneyline Model Pick
⭐ MODEL PICK
💎 NYJ ML (-230)
Fair Odds: -183 (64.7% Win Prob)
🏛️ Kalshi: NYJ 66.5% (⚡-1.8% Model Edge)
🎲 Win Probability Split 10,000 Monte Carlo Sims • Fair Moneyline Odds
MIA Win: 35.3% (+183) NYJ Win: 64.7% (-183)
MIA EPA: Pass -0.044 • Rush -0.046
NYJ EPA: Pass +0.036 • Rush +0.004
👑 Public Betting Splits (DraftKings Sportsbook Consensus) DraftKings Splits
🎟️ % of Bets vs 💵 % of Money 💡 Green = High Handle Divergence
🛡️ Point Spread Splits
NY Jets -4.5 (-115)
🎟️ Bets
61%
💵 Money
46%
MIA Dolphins +4.5 (-105) 🎯 SHARP (+15%)
🎟️ Bets
39%
💵 Money
54%
🔥 Game Total (O/U) Splits
Over 39.5 (-108)
🎟️ Bets
59%
💵 Money
33%
Under 39.5 (-112) 🔥 HIGH DIVERGENCE (+26%)
🎟️ Bets
41%
💵 Money
67%
💎 Moneyline Splits
NY Jets (-238) 🎯 SHARP (+9%)
🎟️ Bets
81%
💵 Money
90%
MIA Dolphins (+195)
🎟️ Bets
19%
💵 Money
10%
🏛️ Kalshi Prediction Markets (CFTC Regulated Exchange) Kalshi Live
🏛️ % Kalshi Implied vs 🤖 % Model Trade on Kalshi ↗
🛡️ Point Spread Markets (-4.5)
NYJ -4.5
🏛️ Kalshi
48.5%
🤖 Model
49.4%
MIA +4.5
🏛️ Kalshi
51.5%
🤖 Model
50.6%
🔥 Game Total Markets (O/U 38.5)
Over 38.5 -5.2%
🏛️ Kalshi
52.5%
🤖 Model
47.3%
Under 38.5 ⚡ +5.2% Edge
🏛️ Kalshi
47.5%
🤖 Model
52.7%
💎 Moneyline Win Markets
NYJ Win
🏛️ Kalshi
66.5%
🤖 Model
64.7%
MIA Win
🏛️ Kalshi
33.5%
🤖 Model
35.3%
👥 Active Lineups & Injury Impact ⚡ Live Depth Charts
Real-time Starters & Net EPA Calibration View Starters ▼
✈️ Miami Dolphins Starters 🟡 92.8% Health • Minor Injuries
🏠 New York Jets Starters 🟢 100.0% Health • Full Strength
✈️ Miami Dolphins Starters 🟡 92.8% Health • Minor Injuries
POS STARTER STATUS
QB1 Malik Willis 🟢 Active
RB1 Ollie Gordon 🟡 Questionable
RB2 Jaylen Wright 🟢 Active
WR1 Malik Washington 🟢 Active
WR2 Chris Bell 🟢 Active
WR3 Kevin Coleman 🟢 Active
TE1 Greg Dulcich 🟢 Active
⚠️ Injury Impact: RB1 Ollie Gordon (Questionable)
🏠 New York Jets Starters 🟢 100.0% Health • Full Strength
POS STARTER STATUS
QB1 Geno Smith 🟢 Active
RB1 Braelon Allen 🟢 Active
RB2 Isaiah Davis 🟢 Active
WR1 Garrett Wilson 🟢 Active
WR2 Tim Patrick 🟢 Active
WR3 Isaiah Williams 🟢 Active
TE1 Kenyon Sadiq 🟢 Active
NYG @ HOU • Sun, October 25th at 1:00 PM EDT
📍 Reliant Stadium (Dome)
💎 BEST ML 🎯 SHARP SPREAD NYG +10.5 (+12% Handle) 🔥 SHARP TOTAL Under 42.5 (+18% Handle) 🔥 HIGH DIVERGENCE NY Giants ML (+49%) 🏛️ Kalshi HOU 80.0% | ⚡+3.5%
New York Giants
DraftKings ML: +380 • Net EPA: -0.28
15.1 - 24.0
Model Projected Score
Houston Texans
DraftKings ML: -500 • Net EPA: -0.05
Spread Market vs Model
⭐ Neutral / Pass
Mkt: HOU -10.0 | Model: HOU -8.9 (Aligned with Market)
Game Total Points (O/U)
❄️ UNDER 42.5
Mkt: O/U 42.5 | Model: 39.1 (Model projects 39.1 (-3.4 pts Under))
Moneyline Model Pick
💎 STRONG FAVORITE
💎 HOU ML (-500)
Fair Odds: -326 (76.5% Win Prob)
🏛️ Kalshi: HOU 80.0% (⚡-3.5% Model Edge)
🎲 Win Probability Split 10,000 Monte Carlo Sims • Fair Moneyline Odds
NYG Win: 23.5% (+326) HOU Win: 76.5% (-326)
NYG EPA: Pass -0.28 • Rush -0.01
HOU EPA: Pass -0.05 • Rush -0.02
👑 Public Betting Splits (DraftKings Sportsbook Consensus) DraftKings Splits
🎟️ % of Bets vs 💵 % of Money 💡 Green = High Handle Divergence
🛡️ Point Spread Splits
HOU Texans -10.5 (-108)
🎟️ Bets
19%
💵 Money
7%
NY Giants +10.5 (-112) 🎯 SHARP (+12%)
🎟️ Bets
81%
💵 Money
93%
🔥 Game Total (O/U) Splits
Over 42.5 (-118)
🎟️ Bets
67%
💵 Money
49%
Under 42.5 (-102) 🎯 SHARP (+18%)
🎟️ Bets
33%
💵 Money
51%
💎 Moneyline Splits
HOU Texans (-520) 👥 PUBLIC TRAP
🎟️ Bets
83%
💵 Money
34%
NY Giants (+390) 🔥 HIGH DIVERGENCE (+49%)
🎟️ Bets
17%
💵 Money
66%
🏛️ Kalshi Prediction Markets (CFTC Regulated Exchange) Kalshi Live
🏛️ % Kalshi Implied vs 🤖 % Model Trade on Kalshi ↗
🛡️ Point Spread Markets (-10.5)
HOU -10.5
🏛️ Kalshi
48.5%
🤖 Model
44.9%
NYG +10.5 ⚡ +3.6% Edge
🏛️ Kalshi
51.5%
🤖 Model
55.1%
🔥 Game Total Markets (O/U 42.5)
Over 42.5 -13.2%
🏛️ Kalshi
52.0%
🤖 Model
38.8%
Under 42.5 ⚡ +13.2% Edge
🏛️ Kalshi
48.0%
🤖 Model
61.2%
💎 Moneyline Win Markets
HOU Win
🏛️ Kalshi
80.0%
🤖 Model
76.5%
NYG Win ⚡ +3.5% Edge
🏛️ Kalshi
20.0%
🤖 Model
23.5%
👥 Active Lineups & Injury Impact ⚡ Live Depth Charts
Real-time Starters & Net EPA Calibration View Starters ▼
✈️ New York Giants Starters 🔴 56.8% Health • Key Inactives
🏠 Houston Texans Starters 🔴 49.6% Health • Key Inactives
✈️ New York Giants Starters 🔴 56.8% Health • Key Inactives
POS STARTER STATUS
QB1 Jameis Winston 🟢 Active
RB1 Cam Skattebo 🟢 Active
RB2 Najee Harris 🟢 Active
WR1 Malik Nabers 🟢 Active
WR2 Malachi Fields 🟢 Active
WR3 Darnell Mooney 🟡 Questionable
TE1 Isaiah Likely 🟢 Active
⚠️ Injury Impact: QB Jake Haener (Out), QB Jaxson Dart (IR)
🏠 Houston Texans Starters 🔴 49.6% Health • Key Inactives
POS STARTER STATUS
QB1 C.J. Stroud 🟢 Active
RB1 Woody Marks 🟢 Active
RB2 Dare Ogunbowale 🟢 Active
WR1 Nico Collins 🟢 Active
WR2 Xavier Hutchinson 🟢 Active
WR3 Marvin Harrison 🟢 Active
TE1 Dalton Schultz 🟢 Active
⚠️ Injury Impact: QB Graham Mertz (IR), RB3 David Montgomery (Out)
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SF @ ATL • Sun, October 25th at 1:00 PM EDT
📍 Mercedes-Benz Stadium (Dome)
💎 BEST ML 🔥 HIGH DIVERGENCE ATL +3 (+49%) 🔥 HIGH DIVERGENCE Over 49.5 (+27%) 🏛️ Kalshi SF 59.5% | ⚡+8.3%
San Francisco 49ers
DraftKings ML: -205 • Net EPA: +0.14
26.6 - 20.7
Model Projected Score
Atlanta Falcons
DraftKings ML: +170 • Net EPA: -0.17
Spread Market vs Model
⭐ SF -3.5
Mkt: ATL +3.5 | Model: ATL +5.9 (+2.4 pts Edge on SF)
Game Total Points (O/U)
❄️ UNDER 49.5
Mkt: O/U 49.5 | Model: 47.3 (Model projects 47.3 (-2.2 pts Under))
Moneyline Model Pick
🎯 SHARP ACTION (+5%)
💎 SF ML (-205)
Fair Odds: -211 (+0.6% Edge)
🏛️ Kalshi: SF 59.5% (⚡+8.3% Model Edge)
🎲 Win Probability Split 10,000 Monte Carlo Sims • Fair Moneyline Odds
SF Win: 67.8% (-211) ATL Win: 32.2% (+211)
SF EPA: Pass +0.14 • Rush +0.06
ATL EPA: Pass -0.17 • Rush -0.03
👑 Public Betting Splits (DraftKings Sportsbook Consensus) DraftKings Splits
🎟️ % of Bets vs 💵 % of Money 💡 Green = High Handle Divergence
🛡️ Point Spread Splits
SF 49ers -3 (+100) 👥 PUBLIC TRAP
🎟️ Bets
69%
💵 Money
20%
ATL Falcons +3 (-120) 🔥 HIGH DIVERGENCE (+49%)
🎟️ Bets
31%
💵 Money
80%
🔥 Game Total (O/U) Splits
Over 49.5 (-115) 🔥 HIGH DIVERGENCE (+27%)
🎟️ Bets
62%
💵 Money
89%
Under 49.5 (-105)
🎟️ Bets
38%
💵 Money
11%
💎 Moneyline Splits
ATL Falcons (+130)
🎟️ Bets
19%
💵 Money
14%
SF 49ers (-155) 🤝 CONSENSUS
🎟️ Bets
81%
💵 Money
86%
🏛️ Kalshi Prediction Markets (CFTC Regulated Exchange) Kalshi Live
🏛️ % Kalshi Implied vs 🤖 % Model Trade on Kalshi ↗
🛡️ Point Spread Markets (-3.5)
SF -3.5 ⚡ +15.1% Edge
🏛️ Kalshi
42.5%
🤖 Model
57.6%
ATL +3.5 -15.1%
🏛️ Kalshi
57.5%
🤖 Model
42.4%
🔥 Game Total Markets (O/U 49.5)
Over 49.5 -9.3%
🏛️ Kalshi
52.0%
🤖 Model
42.7%
Under 49.5 ⚡ +9.3% Edge
🏛️ Kalshi
48.0%
🤖 Model
57.3%
💎 Moneyline Win Markets
ATL Win -9.3%
🏛️ Kalshi
41.5%
🤖 Model
32.2%
SF Win ⚡ +8.3% Edge
🏛️ Kalshi
59.5%
🤖 Model
67.8%
👥 Active Lineups & Injury Impact ⚡ Live Depth Charts
Real-time Starters & Net EPA Calibration View Starters ▼
✈️ San Francisco 49ers Starters 🟡 92.8% Health • Minor Injuries
🏠 Atlanta Falcons Starters 🔴 49.6% Health • Key Inactives
✈️ San Francisco 49ers Starters 🟡 92.8% Health • Minor Injuries
POS STARTER STATUS
QB1 Brock Purdy 🟢 Active
RB1 Christian McCaffrey 🟢 Active
RB2 Kaelon Black 🟢 Active
WR1 Mike Evans 🟡 Questionable
WR2 Jacob Cowing 🟢 Active
WR3 Brandin Cooks 🟢 Active
TE1 George Kittle 🟢 Active
⚠️ Injury Impact: WR1 Mike Evans (Questionable)
🏠 Atlanta Falcons Starters 🔴 49.6% Health • Key Inactives
POS STARTER STATUS
QB1 Michael Penix 🟡 Questionable
RB1 Bijan Robinson 🟢 Active
RB2 Brian Robinson 🟢 Active
WR1 Drake London 🟢 Active
WR2 Jahan Dotson 🟢 Active
WR3 Olamide Zaccheaus 🟢 Active
TE1 Kyle Pitts 🟢 Active
⚠️ Injury Impact: QB Jack Strand (Out), RB3 Trey Sermon (IR)
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TB @ CAR • Sun, October 25th at 1:00 PM EDT
📍 Bank of America Stadium (72°F, 5 mph wind)
⭐ BEST SPREAD 🔥 BEST TOTAL 💎 BEST ML 🎯 SHARP SPREAD TB +3 (+16% Handle) 🔥 SHARP TOTAL Over 44.5 (+17% Handle) 🏛️ Kalshi CAR 60.5% | ⚡+13.9%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
DraftKings ML: +154 • Net EPA: -0.03
20.7 - 19.8
Model Projected Score
Carolina Panthers
DraftKings ML: -185 • Net EPA: -0.25
Spread Market vs Model
👑 BEST BET
⭐ TB +3.5
Mkt: CAR -3.5 | Model: CAR +0.9 (+4.4 pts Edge on TB)
Game Total Points (O/U)
🔥 BEST BET
❄️ UNDER 44.5
Mkt: O/U 44.5 | Model: 40.5 (Model projects 40.5 (-4.0 pts Under))
Moneyline Model Pick
💎 BEST BET
💎 TB ML (+154)
Fair Odds: -115 (+14.0% Edge)
🏛️ Kalshi: CAR 60.5% (⚡-13.9% Model Edge)
🎲 Win Probability Split 10,000 Monte Carlo Sims • Fair Moneyline Odds
TB Win: 53.4% (-115) CAR Win: 46.6% (+115)
TB EPA: Pass -0.03 • Rush +0.04
CAR EPA: Pass -0.25 • Rush -0.09
👑 Public Betting Splits (DraftKings Sportsbook Consensus) DraftKings Splits
🎟️ % of Bets vs 💵 % of Money 💡 Green = High Handle Divergence
🛡️ Point Spread Splits
CAR Panthers -3 (-120)
🎟️ Bets
69%
💵 Money
53%
TB Buccaneers +3 (+100) 🎯 SHARP (+16%)
🎟️ Bets
31%
💵 Money
47%
🔥 Game Total (O/U) Splits
Over 44.5 (-110) 🎯 SHARP (+17%)
🎟️ Bets
83%
💵 Money
100%
Under 44.5 (-110)
🎟️ Bets
17%
💵 Money
0%
💎 Moneyline Splits
CAR Panthers (-166) 🤝 CONSENSUS
🎟️ Bets
84%
💵 Money
85%
TB Buccaneers (+140) ⚖️ NEUTRAL
🎟️ Bets
16%
💵 Money
15%
🏛️ Kalshi Prediction Markets (CFTC Regulated Exchange) Kalshi Live
🏛️ % Kalshi Implied vs 🤖 % Model Trade on Kalshi ↗
🛡️ Point Spread Markets (-3.5)
CAR -3.5 -9.3%
🏛️ Kalshi
45.5%
🤖 Model
36.2%
TB +3.5 ⚡ +9.3% Edge
🏛️ Kalshi
54.5%
🤖 Model
63.8%
🔥 Game Total Markets (O/U 44.5)
Over 44.5 -13.6%
🏛️ Kalshi
50.5%
🤖 Model
36.9%
Under 44.5 ⚡ +13.6% Edge
🏛️ Kalshi
49.5%
🤖 Model
63.1%
💎 Moneyline Win Markets
CAR Win -13.9%
🏛️ Kalshi
60.5%
🤖 Model
46.6%
TB Win ⚡ +13.9% Edge
🏛️ Kalshi
39.5%
🤖 Model
53.4%
👥 Active Lineups & Injury Impact ⚡ Live Depth Charts
Real-time Starters & Net EPA Calibration View Starters ▼
✈️ Tampa Bay Buccaneers Starters 🔴 56.8% Health • Key Inactives
🏠 Carolina Panthers Starters 🔴 49.6% Health • Key Inactives
✈️ Tampa Bay Buccaneers Starters 🔴 56.8% Health • Key Inactives
POS STARTER STATUS
QB1 Jalon Daniels 🟢 Active
RB1 Bucky Irving 🟢 Active
RB2 Kenny Gainwell 🟢 Active
WR1 Emeka Egbuka 🟢 Active
WR2 Chris Godwin 🟢 Active
WR3 Ted Hurst 🟢 Active
TE1 Cade Otton 🟢 Active
⚠️ Injury Impact: QB Baker Mayfield (Out)
🏠 Carolina Panthers Starters 🔴 49.6% Health • Key Inactives
POS STARTER STATUS
QB1 Bryce Young 🟢 Active
RB1 Chuba Hubbard 🟢 Active
RB2 Trevor Etienne 🟢 Active
WR1 Tetairoa McMillan 🟢 Active
WR2 Jalen Coker 🟢 Active
WR3 Brycen Tremayne 🟢 Active
TE1 Darren Waller 🟢 Active
⚠️ Injury Impact: QB Haynes King (Out), RB3 AJ Dillon (Out)
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DEN @ ARI • Sun, October 25th at 4:05 PM EDT
📍 State Farm Stadium (Dome)
🔥 HIGH DIVERGENCE ARI +4.5 (+23%) 🔥 HIGH DIVERGENCE Under 43.5 (+47%) 🔥 HIGH DIVERGENCE ARI Cardinals ML (+23%) 🏛️ Kalshi DEN 66.5% | ⚡+7.4%
Denver Broncos
DraftKings ML: -230 • Net EPA: -0.16
21.2 - 18.5
Model Projected Score
Arizona Cardinals
DraftKings ML: +190 • Net EPA: -0.18
Spread Market vs Model
⭐ ARI +4.5
Mkt: ARI +4.5 | Model: ARI +2.7 (+1.8 pts Edge on ARI)
Game Total Points (O/U)
❄️ UNDER 43.5
Mkt: O/U 43.5 | Model: 39.7 (Model projects 39.7 (-3.8 pts Under))
Moneyline Model Pick
⚠️ SHARP DOG (ARI +23%)
💎 DEN ML (-230)
Fair Odds: -144 (59.1% Win Prob)
🏛️ Kalshi: DEN 66.5% (⚡-7.4% Model Edge)
🎲 Win Probability Split 10,000 Monte Carlo Sims • Fair Moneyline Odds
DEN Win: 59.1% (-144) ARI Win: 40.9% (+144)
DEN EPA: Pass -0.16 • Rush +0.04
ARI EPA: Pass -0.18 • Rush 0.0
👑 Public Betting Splits (DraftKings Sportsbook Consensus) DraftKings Splits
🎟️ % of Bets vs 💵 % of Money 💡 Green = High Handle Divergence
🛡️ Point Spread Splits
DEN Broncos -4.5 (-110)
🎟️ Bets
58%
💵 Money
35%
ARI Cardinals +4.5 (-110) 🔥 HIGH DIVERGENCE (+23%)
🎟️ Bets
42%
💵 Money
65%
🔥 Game Total (O/U) Splits
Over 43.5 (-115)
🎟️ Bets
50%
💵 Money
3%
Under 43.5 (-105) 🔥 HIGH DIVERGENCE (+47%)
🎟️ Bets
50%
💵 Money
97%
💎 Moneyline Splits
ARI Cardinals (+190) 🔥 HIGH DIVERGENCE (+23%)
🎟️ Bets
14%
💵 Money
37%
DEN Broncos (-230) 🤝 CONSENSUS
🎟️ Bets
86%
💵 Money
63%
🏛️ Kalshi Prediction Markets (CFTC Regulated Exchange) Kalshi Live
🏛️ % Kalshi Implied vs 🤖 % Model Trade on Kalshi ↗
🛡️ Point Spread Markets (-4.5)
DEN -4.5
🏛️ Kalshi
48.5%
🤖 Model
44.3%
ARI +4.5 ⚡ +4.2% Edge
🏛️ Kalshi
51.5%
🤖 Model
55.7%
🔥 Game Total Markets (O/U 43.5)
Over 43.5 -11.9%
🏛️ Kalshi
49.5%
🤖 Model
37.6%
Under 43.5 ⚡ +11.9% Edge
🏛️ Kalshi
50.5%
🤖 Model
62.4%
💎 Moneyline Win Markets
ARI Win ⚡ +7.4% Edge
🏛️ Kalshi
33.5%
🤖 Model
40.9%
DEN Win -7.4%
🏛️ Kalshi
66.5%
🤖 Model
59.1%
👥 Active Lineups & Injury Impact ⚡ Live Depth Charts
Real-time Starters & Net EPA Calibration View Starters ▼
✈️ Denver Broncos Starters 🔴 49.6% Health • Key Inactives
🏠 Arizona Cardinals Starters 🔴 49.6% Health • Key Inactives
✈️ Denver Broncos Starters 🔴 49.6% Health • Key Inactives
POS STARTER STATUS
QB1 Bo Nix 🟢 Active
RB1 J.K. Dobbins 🟢 Active
RB2 RJ Harvey 🟢 Active
WR1 Jaylen Waddle 🟡 Questionable
WR2 Courtland Sutton 🟢 Active
WR3 Troy Franklin 🟢 Active
TE1 Evan Engram 🟢 Active
⚠️ Injury Impact: QB Sam Ehlinger (Out), WR1 Jaylen Waddle (Questionable)
🏠 Arizona Cardinals Starters 🔴 49.6% Health • Key Inactives
POS STARTER STATUS
QB1 Jacoby Brissett 🟢 Active
RB1 Tyler Allgeier 🟢 Active
RB2 Zonovan Knight 🟢 Active
WR1 Michael Wilson 🟢 Active
WR2 Kendrick Bourne 🟢 Active
WR3 Jalen Brooks 🟢 Active
TE1 Trey McBride 🟢 Active
⚠️ Injury Impact: QB Carson Beck (Out), RB3 James Conner (IR)
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GB @ DET • Sun, October 25th at 4:25 PM EDT
📍 Ford Field (Dome)
🔥 SHARP TOTAL Over 53.5 (+9% Handle) 🔥 HIGH DIVERGENCE GB Packers ML (+51%) 🏛️ Kalshi DET 61.5% | ⚡+1.3%
Green Bay Packers
DraftKings ML: +140 • Net EPA: +0.1
25.0 - 28.4
Model Projected Score
Detroit Lions
DraftKings ML: -166 • Net EPA: +0.13
Spread Market vs Model
⭐ Neutral / Pass
Mkt: DET -3.0 | Model: DET -3.4 (Aligned with Market)
Game Total Points (O/U)
❄️ Neutral / Pass
Mkt: O/U 53.5 | Model: 53.4 (Aligned with Market)
Moneyline Model Pick
⚠️ SHARP DOG (GB +51%)
💎 DET ML (-166)
Fair Odds: -151 (60.2% Win Prob)
🏛️ Kalshi: DET 61.5% (⚡-1.3% Model Edge)
🎲 Win Probability Split 10,000 Monte Carlo Sims • Fair Moneyline Odds
GB Win: 39.8% (+151) DET Win: 60.2% (-151)
GB EPA: Pass +0.1 • Rush -0.01
DET EPA: Pass +0.13 • Rush +0.08
👑 Public Betting Splits (DraftKings Sportsbook Consensus) DraftKings Splits
🎟️ % of Bets vs 💵 % of Money 💡 Green = High Handle Divergence
🛡️ Point Spread Splits
DET Lions -3 (-110)
🎟️ Bets
58%
💵 Money
62%
GB Packers +3 (-110)
🎟️ Bets
42%
💵 Money
38%
🔥 Game Total (O/U) Splits
Over 53.5 (-110) 🎯 SHARP (+9%)
🎟️ Bets
91%
💵 Money
100%
Under 53.5 (-110)
🎟️ Bets
9%
💵 Money
0%
💎 Moneyline Splits
DET Lions (-166) 👥 PUBLIC TRAP
🎟️ Bets
69%
💵 Money
18%
GB Packers (+140) 🔥 HIGH DIVERGENCE (+51%)
🎟️ Bets
31%
💵 Money
82%
🏛️ Kalshi Prediction Markets (CFTC Regulated Exchange) Kalshi Live
🏛️ % Kalshi Implied vs 🤖 % Model Trade on Kalshi ↗
🛡️ Point Spread Markets (-3.5)
DET -3.5 ⚡ +2.2% Edge
🏛️ Kalshi
47.5%
🤖 Model
49.7%
GB +3.5
🏛️ Kalshi
52.5%
🤖 Model
50.3%
🔥 Game Total Markets (O/U 53.5)
Over 53.5
🏛️ Kalshi
50.5%
🤖 Model
49.7%
Under 53.5
🏛️ Kalshi
49.5%
🤖 Model
50.3%
💎 Moneyline Win Markets
DET Win
🏛️ Kalshi
61.5%
🤖 Model
60.2%
GB Win
🏛️ Kalshi
38.5%
🤖 Model
39.8%
👥 Active Lineups & Injury Impact ⚡ Live Depth Charts
Real-time Starters & Net EPA Calibration View Starters ▼
✈️ Green Bay Packers Starters 🟢 100.0% Health • Full Strength
🏠 Detroit Lions Starters 🟢 100.0% Health • Full Strength
✈️ Green Bay Packers Starters 🟢 100.0% Health • Full Strength
POS STARTER STATUS
QB1 Jordan Love 🟢 Active
RB1 MarShawn Lloyd 🟢 Active
RB2 Pierre Strong 🟢 Active
WR1 Christian Watson 🟢 Active
WR2 Matthew Golden 🟢 Active
WR3 Bo Melton 🟢 Active
TE1 Tucker Kraft 🟢 Active
🏠 Detroit Lions Starters 🟢 100.0% Health • Full Strength
POS STARTER STATUS
QB1 Jared Goff 🟢 Active
RB1 Jahmyr Gibbs 🟢 Active
RB2 Sione Vaki 🟢 Active
WR1 Amon-Ra St. Brown 🟢 Active
WR2 Jameson Williams 🟢 Active
WR3 Isaac TeSlaa 🟢 Active
TE1 Sam LaPorta 🟢 Active
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LAR @ LV • Sun, October 25th at 4:25 PM EDT
📍 Allegiant Stadium (Dome)
🔥 BEST TOTAL 🎯 SHARP SPREAD LV +4.5 (+17% Handle) 🔥 SHARP TOTAL Over 48.5 (+17% Handle) 💎 SHARP ML LV Raiders (+16% Handle) 🏛️ Kalshi LAR 65.5% | ⚡+5.7%
Los Angeles Rams
DraftKings ML: -225 • Net EPA: -0.14
22.5 - 19.4
Model Projected Score
Las Vegas Raiders
DraftKings ML: +185 • Net EPA: -0.18
Spread Market vs Model
⭐ Neutral / Pass
Mkt: LV +4.5 | Model: LV +3.1 (Aligned with Market)
Game Total Points (O/U)
🔥 BEST BET
❄️ UNDER 47.5
Mkt: O/U 47.5 | Model: 41.9 (Model projects 41.9 (-5.6 pts Under))
Moneyline Model Pick
⭐ MODEL PICK
💎 LAR ML (-225)
Fair Odds: -149 (59.8% Win Prob)
🏛️ Kalshi: LAR 65.5% (⚡-5.7% Model Edge)
🎲 Win Probability Split 10,000 Monte Carlo Sims • Fair Moneyline Odds
LAR Win: 59.8% (-149) LV Win: 40.2% (+149)
LAR EPA: Pass -0.14 • Rush +0.03
LV EPA: Pass -0.18 • Rush -0.04
👑 Public Betting Splits (DraftKings Sportsbook Consensus) DraftKings Splits
🎟️ % of Bets vs 💵 % of Money 💡 Green = High Handle Divergence
🛡️ Point Spread Splits
LA Rams -4.5 (-105)
🎟️ Bets
34%
💵 Money
17%
LV Raiders +4.5 (-115) 🎯 SHARP (+17%)
🎟️ Bets
66%
💵 Money
83%
🔥 Game Total (O/U) Splits
Over 48.5 (-108) 🎯 SHARP (+17%)
🎟️ Bets
81%
💵 Money
98%
Under 48.5 (-112)
🎟️ Bets
19%
💵 Money
2%
💎 Moneyline Splits
LV Raiders (+180) 🎯 SHARP (+16%)
🎟️ Bets
21%
💵 Money
37%
LA Rams (-218) 🤝 CONSENSUS
🎟️ Bets
79%
💵 Money
63%
🏛️ Kalshi Prediction Markets (CFTC Regulated Exchange) Kalshi Live
🏛️ % Kalshi Implied vs 🤖 % Model Trade on Kalshi ↗
🛡️ Point Spread Markets (-4.5)
LAR -4.5
🏛️ Kalshi
47.5%
🤖 Model
45.5%
LV +4.5 ⚡ +2.0% Edge
🏛️ Kalshi
52.5%
🤖 Model
54.5%
🔥 Game Total Markets (O/U 47.5)
Over 47.5 -20.5%
🏛️ Kalshi
52.5%
🤖 Model
32.0%
Under 47.5 ⚡ +20.5% Edge
🏛️ Kalshi
47.5%
🤖 Model
68.0%
💎 Moneyline Win Markets
LV Win ⚡ +5.7% Edge
🏛️ Kalshi
34.5%
🤖 Model
40.2%
LAR Win -5.7%
🏛️ Kalshi
65.5%
🤖 Model
59.8%
👥 Active Lineups & Injury Impact ⚡ Live Depth Charts
Real-time Starters & Net EPA Calibration View Starters ▼
✈️ Los Angeles Rams Starters 🔴 47.2% Health • Key Inactives
🏠 Las Vegas Raiders Starters 🔴 56.8% Health • Key Inactives
✈️ Los Angeles Rams Starters 🔴 47.2% Health • Key Inactives
POS STARTER STATUS
QB1 Matthew Stafford 🟢 Active
RB1 Kyren Williams 🟢 Active
RB2 Blake Corum 🟢 Active
WR1 Puka Nacua 🟢 Active
WR2 Davante Adams 🔴 Out
WR3 Konata Mumpfield 🟢 Active
TE1 Tyler Higbee 🟢 Active
⚠️ Injury Impact: QB Ty Simpson (Out), QB Matthew Caldwell (IR), WR2 Davante Adams (Out)
🏠 Las Vegas Raiders Starters 🔴 56.8% Health • Key Inactives
POS STARTER STATUS
QB1 Kirk Cousins 🟢 Active
RB1 Ashton Jeanty 🟢 Active
RB2 Mike Washington 🟢 Active
WR1 Tre Tucker 🟢 Active
WR2 Jalen Nailor 🟢 Active
WR3 Cody White 🟢 Active
TE1 Brock Bowers 🟢 Active
⚠️ Injury Impact: QB Aidan O'Connell (Out)
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KC @ SEA • Sun, October 25th at 8:20 PM EDT
📍 Lumen Field (72°F, 5 mph wind)
⭐ BEST SPREAD 💎 BEST ML 🔥 HIGH DIVERGENCE SEA -2.5 (+31%) 🔥 SHARP TOTAL Under 42.5 (+9% Handle) 🏛️ Kalshi SEA 57.0% | ⚡+9.4%
Kansas City Chiefs
DraftKings ML: +114 • Net EPA: +0.03
21.0 - 20.3
Model Projected Score
Seattle Seahawks
DraftKings ML: -135 • Net EPA: -0.18
Spread Market vs Model
👑 BEST BET
⭐ KC +2.5
Mkt: SEA -2.5 | Model: SEA +0.7 (+3.2 pts Edge on KC)
Game Total Points (O/U)
❄️ Neutral / Pass
Mkt: O/U 42.5 | Model: 41.3 (Aligned with Market)
Moneyline Model Pick
💎 BEST BET
💎 KC ML (+114)
Fair Odds: -110 (+5.7% Edge)
🏛️ Kalshi: SEA 57.0% (⚡-9.4% Model Edge)
🎲 Win Probability Split 10,000 Monte Carlo Sims • Fair Moneyline Odds
KC Win: 52.4% (-110) SEA Win: 47.6% (+110)
KC EPA: Pass +0.03 • Rush +0.04
SEA EPA: Pass -0.18 • Rush 0.0
👑 Public Betting Splits (DraftKings Sportsbook Consensus) DraftKings Splits
🎟️ % of Bets vs 💵 % of Money 💡 Green = High Handle Divergence
🛡️ Point Spread Splits
SEA Seahawks -2.5 (-118) 🔥 HIGH DIVERGENCE (+31%)
🎟️ Bets
34%
💵 Money
65%
KC Chiefs +2.5 (-102) 👥 PUBLIC TRAP
🎟️ Bets
66%
💵 Money
35%
🔥 Game Total (O/U) Splits
Over 42.5 (-110) 🤝 CONSENSUS
🎟️ Bets
71%
💵 Money
62%
Under 42.5 (-110) 🎯 SHARP (+9%)
🎟️ Bets
29%
💵 Money
38%
💎 Moneyline Splits
SEA Seahawks (-148) ⚖️ NEUTRAL
🎟️ Bets
35%
💵 Money
38%
KC Chiefs (+124) 🤝 CONSENSUS
🎟️ Bets
65%
💵 Money
62%
🏛️ Kalshi Prediction Markets (CFTC Regulated Exchange) Kalshi Live
🏛️ % Kalshi Implied vs 🤖 % Model Trade on Kalshi ↗
🛡️ Point Spread Markets (-2.5)
SEA -2.5 -11.6%
🏛️ Kalshi
51.5%
🤖 Model
39.9%
KC +2.5 ⚡ +11.6% Edge
🏛️ Kalshi
48.5%
🤖 Model
60.1%
🔥 Game Total Markets (O/U 42.5)
Over 42.5
🏛️ Kalshi
49.5%
🤖 Model
46.0%
Under 42.5 ⚡ +3.5% Edge
🏛️ Kalshi
50.5%
🤖 Model
54.0%
💎 Moneyline Win Markets
SEA Win -9.4%
🏛️ Kalshi
57.0%
🤖 Model
47.6%
KC Win ⚡ +9.4% Edge
🏛️ Kalshi
43.0%
🤖 Model
52.4%
👥 Active Lineups & Injury Impact ⚡ Live Depth Charts
Real-time Starters & Net EPA Calibration View Starters ▼
✈️ Kansas City Chiefs Starters 🔴 56.8% Health • Key Inactives
🏠 Seattle Seahawks Starters 🔴 56.8% Health • Key Inactives
✈️ Kansas City Chiefs Starters 🔴 56.8% Health • Key Inactives
POS STARTER STATUS
QB1 Patrick Mahomes 🟢 Active
RB1 Kenneth Walker 🟢 Active
RB2 Emmett Johnson 🟢 Active
WR1 Xavier Worthy 🟢 Active
WR2 Jalen Royals 🟢 Active
WR3 Joe Forson 🟢 Active
TE1 Travis Kelce 🟢 Active
⚠️ Injury Impact: QB Garrett Nussmeier (Out)
🏠 Seattle Seahawks Starters 🔴 56.8% Health • Key Inactives
POS STARTER STATUS
QB1 Sam Darnold 🟢 Active
RB1 Emanuel Wilson 🟢 Active
RB2 George Holani 🟢 Active
WR1 Jaxon Smith-Njigba 🟢 Active
WR2 Rashid Shaheed 🟢 Active
WR3 Cooper Kupp 🟢 Active
TE1 AJ Barner 🟢 Active
⚠️ Injury Impact: QB Jalen Milroe (Out)
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DAL @ PHI • Mon, October 26th at 8:15 PM EDT
📍 Lincoln Financial Field (72°F, 5 mph wind)
🔥 HIGH DIVERGENCE PHI +4.5 (+28%) 🔥 HIGH DIVERGENCE Over 44.5 (+20%) 💎 SHARP ML PHI Eagles (+7% Handle) 🏛️ Kalshi DAL 64.5% | ⚡+5.3%
Dallas Cowboys
DraftKings ML: -225 • Net EPA: +0.06
23.5 - 20.5
Model Projected Score
Philadelphia Eagles
DraftKings ML: +185 • Net EPA: -0.14
Spread Market vs Model
⭐ PHI +4.5
Mkt: PHI +4.5 | Model: PHI +3.0 (+1.5 pts Edge on PHI)
Game Total Points (O/U)
❄️ Neutral / Pass
Mkt: O/U 44.5 | Model: 44.0 (Aligned with Market)
Moneyline Model Pick
🤝 CONSENSUS (85% Money)
💎 DAL ML (-225)
Fair Odds: -145 (59.2% Win Prob)
🏛️ Kalshi: DAL 64.5% (⚡-5.3% Model Edge)
🎲 Win Probability Split 10,000 Monte Carlo Sims • Fair Moneyline Odds
DAL Win: 59.2% (-145) PHI Win: 40.8% (+145)
DAL EPA: Pass +0.06 • Rush -0.06
PHI EPA: Pass -0.14 • Rush +0.1
👑 Public Betting Splits (DraftKings Sportsbook Consensus) DraftKings Splits
🎟️ % of Bets vs 💵 % of Money 💡 Green = High Handle Divergence
🛡️ Point Spread Splits
DAL Cowboys -4.5 (-112)
🎟️ Bets
56%
💵 Money
28%
PHI Eagles +4.5 (-108) 🔥 HIGH DIVERGENCE (+28%)
🎟️ Bets
44%
💵 Money
72%
🔥 Game Total (O/U) Splits
Over 44.5 (-110) 🔥 HIGH DIVERGENCE (+20%)
🎟️ Bets
80%
💵 Money
100%
Under 44.5 (-110)
🎟️ Bets
20%
💵 Money
0%
💎 Moneyline Splits
PHI Eagles (+185) 🎯 SHARP (+7%)
🎟️ Bets
8%
💵 Money
15%
DAL Cowboys (-225) 🤝 CONSENSUS
🎟️ Bets
92%
💵 Money
85%
🏛️ Kalshi Prediction Markets (CFTC Regulated Exchange) Kalshi Live
🏛️ % Kalshi Implied vs 🤖 % Model Trade on Kalshi ↗
🛡️ Point Spread Markets (-4.5)
DAL -4.5
🏛️ Kalshi
47.5%
🤖 Model
45.2%
PHI +4.5 ⚡ +2.3% Edge
🏛️ Kalshi
52.5%
🤖 Model
54.8%
🔥 Game Total Markets (O/U 44.5)
Over 44.5
🏛️ Kalshi
48.5%
🤖 Model
48.3%
Under 44.5
🏛️ Kalshi
51.5%
🤖 Model
51.7%
💎 Moneyline Win Markets
PHI Win ⚡ +5.3% Edge
🏛️ Kalshi
35.5%
🤖 Model
40.8%
DAL Win -5.3%
🏛️ Kalshi
64.5%
🤖 Model
59.2%
👥 Active Lineups & Injury Impact ⚡ Live Depth Charts
Real-time Starters & Net EPA Calibration View Starters ▼
✈️ Dallas Cowboys Starters 🟢 95.2% Health • Full Strength
🏠 Philadelphia Eagles Starters 🔴 49.6% Health • Key Inactives
✈️ Dallas Cowboys Starters 🟢 95.2% Health • Full Strength
POS STARTER STATUS
QB1 Dak Prescott 🟢 Active
RB1 Javonte Williams 🟢 Active
RB2 Tyler Goodson 🟢 Active
WR1 CeeDee Lamb 🟢 Active
WR2 George Pickens 🟢 Active
WR3 Ryan Flournoy 🟢 Active
TE1 Jake Ferguson 🟢 Active
⚠️ Injury Impact: WR4 KaVontae Turpin (Out)
🏠 Philadelphia Eagles Starters 🔴 49.6% Health • Key Inactives
POS STARTER STATUS
QB1 Tanner McKee 🟢 Active
RB1 Dameon Pierce 🟢 Active
RB2 Carson Steele 🟡 Questionable
WR1 DeVonta Smith 🟢 Active
WR2 Dontayvion Wicks 🟡 Questionable
WR3 Makai Lemon 🟡 Questionable
TE1 Dallas Goedert 🟢 Active
⚠️ Injury Impact: QB Jalen Hurts (IR), QB Joe Milton (Out), WR2 Dontayvion Wicks (Questionable)
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