Game Lines • Beta
Simulated Projected ML, Spreads, Totals, Kalshi & Public Betting Splits
🎯 Top Spread Edge
ARI +10.5
ARI @ LAC • +12.2 pts Edge on ARI
🔥 Top Total (O/U) Edge
OVER 44.5
BUF @ HOU • Model projects 55.8 (+11.3 pts Over)
💎 Top Win Probability
SEA ML (-180)
NE @ SEA • Win Prob: 69.6%
🏛️ Top Kalshi Edge
LAC (82.5%)
ARI @ LAC • +37.0% Edge
NE @ SEA • 9/9 - 8:20 PM EDT
📍 Lumen Field (72°F, 8 mph wind)
⭐ BEST SPREAD 🏛️ Kalshi SEA 62.5% | ⚡+7.1%
New England Patriots
DraftKings ML: +150 • Net EPA: -0.08
18.9 - 25.6
Model Projected Score
Seattle Seahawks
DraftKings ML: -180 • Net EPA: +0.08
Spread Market vs Model
👑 BEST BET
⭐ SEA -3.5
Mkt: SEA -3.5 | Model: SEA -6.7 (+3.2 pts Edge on SEA)
Game Total Points (O/U)
❄️ Neutral / Pass
Mkt: O/U 44.5 | Model: 44.5 (Aligned with Market)
Moneyline Model Pick
💎 SEA ML (-180)
Fair Odds: -229 (+5.3% Edge)
🏛️ Kalshi: SEA 62.5% (⚡+7.1% Model Edge)
NE Win: 30.4% (+229)
SEA Win: 69.6% (-229)
🏛️ Kalshi NE: 37.5% (⚡-7.1% Edge)
🏛️ Kalshi SEA: 62.5% (⚡+7.1% Edge)
📊 Public Betting Splits (Action Network • Yahoo Sports Consensus)
🎟️ % of Bets (Tickets) vs 💵 % of Money (Handle)
🛡️ Point Spread Splits
New England +3.5 (-113)
🎟️ 53.1% Bets • 💵 49.9% Money
Seattle -3.5 (-106)
🎟️ 46.9% Bets • 💵 50.1% Money
🔥 Game Total (O/U) Splits
Over 44.5 (-105)
🎟️ 27.1% Bets • 💵 27.9% Money
Under 44.5 (-110)
🎟️ 72.9% Bets • 💵 72.1% Money
💎 Moneyline Splits
New England ML (+155)
🎟️ 14.8% Bets • 💵 26.7% Money
Seattle ML (-189)
🎟️ 85.2% Bets • 💵 73.3% Money
NE EPA: Pass -0.08 • Rush -0.02
SEA EPA: Pass +0.08 • Rush +0.05
SF @ LAR • 9/10 - 8:35 PM EDT
📍 Melbourne Cricket Ground (72°F, 8 mph wind)
🔥 BEST TOTAL 💎 BEST ML 🎯 SHARP MONEY -3.5 (+14.0% Handle) 🏛️ Kalshi LAR 64.5% | ⚡+10.3%
San Francisco 49ers
DraftKings ML: +160 • Net EPA: +0.14
26.7 - 27.8
Model Projected Score
Los Angeles Rams
DraftKings ML: -192 • Net EPA: +0.14
Spread Market vs Model
⭐ SF +3.5
Mkt: LAR -3.5 | Model: LAR -1.1 (+2.4 pts Edge on SF)
Game Total Points (O/U)
🔥 BEST BET
🔥 OVER 48.5
Mkt: O/U 48.5 | Model: 54.5 (Model projects 54.5 (+6.0 pts Over))
Moneyline Model Pick
💎 BEST BET
💎 LAR ML (-192)
Fair Odds: -114 (-12.6% Edge)
🏛️ Kalshi: LAR 64.5% (⚡-11.3% Model Edge)
SF Win: 46.8% (+114)
LAR Win: 53.2% (-114)
🏛️ Kalshi SF: 36.5% (⚡+10.3% Edge)
🏛️ Kalshi LAR: 64.5% (⚡-11.3% Edge)
📊 Public Betting Splits (Action Network • Yahoo Sports Consensus)
🎟️ % of Bets (Tickets) vs 💵 % of Money (Handle)
🛡️ Point Spread Splits
San Francisco +3.5 (-110)
🎟️ 46.5% Bets • 💵 32.5% Money
LA Rams -3.5 (-110)
🎟️ 53.5% Bets • 💵 67.5% Money
🔥 Game Total (O/U) Splits
Over 48.5 (-106)
🎟️ 20.4% Bets • 💵 17.4% Money
Under 48.5 (-113)
🎟️ 79.7% Bets • 💵 82.6% Money
💎 Moneyline Splits
San Francisco ML (+162)
🎟️ 10.7% Bets • 💵 9.3% Money
LA Rams ML (-198)
🎟️ 89.3% Bets • 💵 90.7% Money
SF EPA: Pass +0.14 • Rush +0.09
LAR EPA: Pass +0.14 • Rush +0.07
TB @ CIN • 9/13 - 1:00 PM EDT
📍 Paycor Stadium (72°F, 8 mph wind)
🏛️ Kalshi CIN 65.5% | ⚡+2.5%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
DraftKings ML: +170 • Net EPA: +0.06
22.5 - 27.1
Model Projected Score
Cincinnati Bengals
DraftKings ML: -205 • Net EPA: +0.14
Spread Market vs Model
⭐ Neutral / Pass
Mkt: CIN -3.5 | Model: CIN -4.6 (Aligned with Market)
Game Total Points (O/U)
❄️ Neutral / Pass
Mkt: O/U 50.5 | Model: 49.6 (Aligned with Market)
Moneyline Model Pick
💎 CIN ML (-205)
Fair Odds: -170 (-4.2% Edge)
🏛️ Kalshi: CIN 65.5% (⚡-2.5% Model Edge)
TB Win: 37.0% (+170)
CIN Win: 63.0% (-170)
🏛️ Kalshi TB: 34.5% (⚡+2.5% Edge)
🏛️ Kalshi CIN: 65.5% (⚡-2.5% Edge)
📊 Public Betting Splits (Action Network • Yahoo Sports Consensus)
🎟️ % of Bets (Tickets) vs 💵 % of Money (Handle)
🛡️ Point Spread Splits
Tampa Bay +3.5 (-107)
🎟️ 57.7% Bets • 💵 54.0% Money
Cincinnati -3.5 (-113)
🎟️ 42.3% Bets • 💵 46.0% Money
🔥 Game Total (O/U) Splits
Over 50.5 (-111)
🎟️ 11.3% Bets • 💵 29.0% Money
Under 50.5 (-109)
🎟️ 88.7% Bets • 💵 71.0% Money
💎 Moneyline Splits
Cincinnati ML (-200)
🎟️ 86.5% Bets • 💵 77.6% Money
Tampa Bay ML (+166)
🎟️ 13.5% Bets • 💵 22.4% Money
TB EPA: Pass +0.06 • Rush -0.04
CIN EPA: Pass +0.14 • Rush 0.0
NO @ DET • 9/13 - 1:00 PM EDT
📍 Ford Field (Dome)
🏛️ Kalshi DET 74.0% | ⚡+6.0%
New Orleans Saints
DraftKings ML: +235 • Net EPA: +0.03
23.6 - 29.9
Model Projected Score
Detroit Lions
DraftKings ML: -290 • Net EPA: +0.17
Spread Market vs Model
⭐ Neutral / Pass
Mkt: DET -7.0 | Model: DET -6.3 (Aligned with Market)
Game Total Points (O/U)
🔥 OVER 50.5
Mkt: O/U 50.5 | Model: 53.5 (Model projects 53.5 (+3.0 pts Over))
Moneyline Model Pick
💎 DET ML (-290)
Fair Odds: -217 (-5.9% Edge)
🏛️ Kalshi: DET 74.0% (⚡-5.5% Model Edge)
NO Win: 31.5% (+217)
DET Win: 68.5% (-217)
🏛️ Kalshi NO: 25.5% (⚡+6.0% Edge)
🏛️ Kalshi DET: 74.0% (⚡-5.5% Edge)
NO EPA: Pass +0.03 • Rush +0.06
DET EPA: Pass +0.17 • Rush +0.1
NYJ @ TEN • 9/13 - 1:00 PM EDT
📍 Nissan Stadium (72°F, 8 mph wind)
🐶 VALUE DOG 🎯 SHARP MONEY +1.5 (+19.6% Handle) 🏛️ Kalshi TEN 53.5% | ⚡-0.2%
New York Jets
DraftKings ML: +110 • Net EPA: +0.024
19.3 - 20.1
Model Projected Score
Tennessee Titans
DraftKings ML: -130 • Net EPA: +0.016
Spread Market vs Model
⭐ Neutral / Pass
Mkt: TEN -1.5 | Model: TEN -0.8 (Aligned with Market)
Game Total Points (O/U)
❄️ Neutral / Pass
Mkt: O/U 39.5 | Model: 39.4 (Aligned with Market)
Moneyline Model Pick
💎 TEN ML (-130)
Fair Odds: -111 (-3.8% Edge)
🏛️ Kalshi: TEN 53.5% (⚡-0.8% Model Edge)
NYJ Win: 47.3% (+111)
TEN Win: 52.7% (-111)
🏛️ Kalshi NYJ: 47.5% (⚡-0.2% Edge)
🏛️ Kalshi TEN: 53.5% (⚡-0.8% Edge)
📊 Public Betting Splits (Action Network • Yahoo Sports Consensus)
🎟️ % of Bets (Tickets) vs 💵 % of Money (Handle)
🛡️ Point Spread Splits
NY Jets +1.5 (-107)
🎟️ 42.7% Bets • 💵 62.3% Money
Tennessee -1.5 (-112)
🎟️ 57.3% Bets • 💵 37.7% Money
🔥 Game Total (O/U) Splits
Over 39.5 (-108)
🎟️ 54.4% Bets • 💵 56.7% Money
Under 39.5 (-111)
🎟️ 45.6% Bets • 💵 43.3% Money
💎 Moneyline Splits
NY Jets ML (+108)
🎟️ 21.5% Bets • 💵 26.3% Money
Tennessee ML (-129)
🎟️ 78.5% Bets • 💵 73.7% Money
NYJ EPA: Pass +0.024 • Rush +0.012
TEN EPA: Pass +0.016 • Rush +0.016
BAL @ IND • 9/13 - 1:00 PM EDT
📍 Lucas Oil Stadium (Dome)
⭐ BEST SPREAD 🔥 BEST TOTAL 💎 BEST ML 🎯 SHARP MONEY -3.5 (+23.5% Handle) 🏛️ Kalshi BAL 63.5% | ⚡+19.2%
Baltimore Ravens
DraftKings ML: -175 • Net EPA: +0.11
26.7 - 28.8
Model Projected Score
Indianapolis Colts
DraftKings ML: +145 • Net EPA: +0.11
Spread Market vs Model
👑 BEST BET
⭐ IND +3.5
Mkt: IND +3.5 | Model: IND -2.1 (+5.6 pts Edge on IND)
Game Total Points (O/U)
🔥 BEST BET
🔥 OVER 48.5
Mkt: O/U 48.5 | Model: 55.5 (Model projects 55.5 (+7.0 pts Over))
Moneyline Model Pick
💎 BEST BET
💎 IND ML (+145)
Fair Odds: -126 (+14.9% Edge)
🏛️ Kalshi: BAL 63.5% (⚡-19.2% Model Edge)
BAL Win: 44.3% (+126)
IND Win: 55.7% (-126)
🏛️ Kalshi BAL: 63.5% (⚡-19.2% Edge)
🏛️ Kalshi IND: 36.5% (⚡+19.2% Edge)
📊 Public Betting Splits (Action Network • Yahoo Sports Consensus)
🎟️ % of Bets (Tickets) vs 💵 % of Money (Handle)
🛡️ Point Spread Splits
Baltimore -3.5 (-106)
🎟️ 57.9% Bets • 💵 81.4% Money
Indianapolis +3.5 (-115)
🎟️ 42.1% Bets • 💵 18.6% Money
🔥 Game Total (O/U) Splits
Over 48 (-108)
🎟️ 16.8% Bets • 💵 12.2% Money
Under 48 (-111)
🎟️ 83.2% Bets • 💵 87.8% Money
💎 Moneyline Splits
Indianapolis ML (+150)
🎟️ 10.8% Bets • 💵 8.1% Money
Baltimore ML (-182)
🎟️ 89.2% Bets • 💵 92.0% Money
BAL EPA: Pass +0.11 • Rush +0.1
IND EPA: Pass +0.11 • Rush +0.12
ATL @ PIT • 9/13 - 1:00 PM EDT
📍 Acrisure Stadium (72°F, 8 mph wind)
⭐ BEST SPREAD 💎 BEST ML 🎯 SHARP MONEY -3.5 (+17.6% Handle) 🏛️ Kalshi PIT 62.5% | ⚡+14.5%
Atlanta Falcons
DraftKings ML: +154 • Net EPA: +0.048
20.3 - 19.6
Model Projected Score
Pittsburgh Steelers
DraftKings ML: -185 • Net EPA: 0.0
Spread Market vs Model
👑 BEST BET
⭐ ATL +3.5
Mkt: PIT -3.5 | Model: PIT +0.7 (+4.2 pts Edge on ATL)
Game Total Points (O/U)
❄️ Neutral / Pass
Mkt: O/U 41.5 | Model: 39.9 (Aligned with Market)
Moneyline Model Pick
💎 BEST BET
💎 ATL ML (+154)
Fair Odds: -108 (+12.6% Edge)
🏛️ Kalshi: PIT 62.5% (⚡-14.5% Model Edge)
ATL Win: 52.0% (-108)
PIT Win: 48.0% (+108)
🏛️ Kalshi ATL: 37.5% (⚡+14.5% Edge)
🏛️ Kalshi PIT: 62.5% (⚡-14.5% Edge)
📊 Public Betting Splits (Action Network • Yahoo Sports Consensus)
🎟️ % of Bets (Tickets) vs 💵 % of Money (Handle)
🛡️ Point Spread Splits
Atlanta +3.5 (-116)
🎟️ 56.3% Bets • 💵 38.7% Money
Pittsburgh -3.5 (-104)
🎟️ 43.7% Bets • 💵 61.3% Money
🔥 Game Total (O/U) Splits
Over 41.5 (-115)
🎟️ 33.7% Bets • 💵 32.9% Money
Under 41.5 (-107)
🎟️ 66.3% Bets • 💵 67.1% Money
💎 Moneyline Splits
Pittsburgh ML (-182)
🎟️ 84.0% Bets • 💵 68.5% Money
Atlanta ML (+150)
🎟️ 16.0% Bets • 💵 31.4% Money
ATL EPA: Pass +0.048 • Rush +0.036
PIT EPA: Pass 0.0 • Rush +0.02
CHI @ CAR • 9/13 - 1:00 PM EDT
📍 Bank of America Stadium (72°F, 8 mph wind)
⭐ BEST SPREAD 💎 BEST ML 🎯 SHARP MONEY -2.5 (+22.4% Handle) 🏛️ Kalshi CHI 59.5% | ⚡+19.0%
Chicago Bears
DraftKings ML: -148 • Net EPA: -0.04
19.9 - 23.4
Model Projected Score
Carolina Panthers
DraftKings ML: +124 • Net EPA: -0.01
Spread Market vs Model
👑 BEST BET
⭐ CAR +3
Mkt: CAR +3.0 | Model: CAR -3.5 (+6.5 pts Edge on CAR)
Game Total Points (O/U)
❄️ UNDER 46.5
Mkt: O/U 46.5 | Model: 43.3 (Model projects 43.3 (-3.2 pts Under))
Moneyline Model Pick
💎 BEST BET
💎 CAR ML (+124)
Fair Odds: -147 (+14.9% Edge)
🏛️ Kalshi: CHI 59.5% (⚡-19.0% Model Edge)
CHI Win: 40.5% (+147)
CAR Win: 59.5% (-147)
🏛️ Kalshi CHI: 59.5% (⚡-19.0% Edge)
🏛️ Kalshi CAR: 40.5% (⚡+19.0% Edge)
📊 Public Betting Splits (Action Network • Yahoo Sports Consensus)
🎟️ % of Bets (Tickets) vs 💵 % of Money (Handle)
🛡️ Point Spread Splits
Chicago -2.5 (-119)
🎟️ 67.0% Bets • 💵 89.4% Money
Carolina +2.5 (-101)
🎟️ 33.0% Bets • 💵 10.6% Money
🔥 Game Total (O/U) Splits
Over 47 (-110)
🎟️ 13.4% Bets • 💵 19.5% Money
Under 47 (-109)
🎟️ 86.6% Bets • 💵 80.5% Money
💎 Moneyline Splits
Chicago ML (-151)
🎟️ 85.2% Bets • 💵 92.4% Money
Carolina ML (+127)
🎟️ 14.8% Bets • 💵 7.6% Money
CHI EPA: Pass -0.04 • Rush -0.03
CAR EPA: Pass -0.01 • Rush +0.02
CLE @ JAX • 9/13 - 1:00 PM EDT
📍 EverBank Stadium (72°F, 8 mph wind)
⭐ BEST SPREAD 💎 BEST ML 🎯 SHARP MONEY -7.5 (+30.0% Handle) 🏛️ Kalshi JAX 78.5% | ⚡+18.6%
Cleveland Browns
DraftKings ML: +320 • Net EPA: -0.032
17.8 - 20.9
Model Projected Score
Jacksonville Jaguars
DraftKings ML: -410 • Net EPA: +0.036
Spread Market vs Model
👑 BEST BET
⭐ CLE +7.5
Mkt: JAX -7.5 | Model: JAX -3.1 (+4.4 pts Edge on CLE)
Game Total Points (O/U)
❄️ Neutral / Pass
Mkt: O/U 40.5 | Model: 38.7 (Aligned with Market)
Moneyline Model Pick
💎 BEST BET
💎 JAX ML (-410)
Fair Odds: -149 (-20.5% Edge)
🏛️ Kalshi: JAX 78.5% (⚡-18.6% Model Edge)
CLE Win: 40.1% (+149)
JAX Win: 59.9% (-149)
🏛️ Kalshi CLE: 21.5% (⚡+18.6% Edge)
🏛️ Kalshi JAX: 78.5% (⚡-18.6% Edge)
📊 Public Betting Splits (Action Network • Yahoo Sports Consensus)
🎟️ % of Bets (Tickets) vs 💵 % of Money (Handle)
🛡️ Point Spread Splits
Cleveland +7.5 (-110)
🎟️ 57.0% Bets • 💵 27.0% Money
Jacksonville -7.5 (-110)
🎟️ 43.0% Bets • 💵 73.0% Money
🔥 Game Total (O/U) Splits
Over 40.5 (-109)
🎟️ 46.0% Bets • 💵 46.8% Money
Under 40.5 (-110)
🎟️ 54.0% Bets • 💵 53.2% Money
💎 Moneyline Splits
Cleveland ML (+325)
🎟️ 7.3% Bets • 💵 17.4% Money
Jacksonville ML (-422)
🎟️ 92.7% Bets • 💵 82.6% Money
CLE EPA: Pass -0.032 • Rush -0.004
JAX EPA: Pass +0.036 • Rush +0.02
BUF @ HOU • 9/13 - 1:00 PM EDT
📍 Reliant Stadium (Dome)
🔥 BEST TOTAL 🏛️ Kalshi HOU 50.5% | ⚡+2.7%
Buffalo Bills
DraftKings ML: -110 • Net EPA: +0.2
28.3 - 27.5
Model Projected Score
Houston Texans
DraftKings ML: -110 • Net EPA: +0.16
Spread Market vs Model
⭐ Neutral / Pass
Mkt: HOU +1.5 | Model: HOU +0.8 (Aligned with Market)
Game Total Points (O/U)
🔥 BEST BET
🔥 OVER 44.5
Mkt: O/U 44.5 | Model: 55.8 (Model projects 55.8 (+11.3 pts Over))
Moneyline Model Pick
💎 BUF ML (-110)
Fair Odds: -109 (-0.2% Edge)
🏛️ Kalshi: HOU 50.5% (⚡-2.7% Model Edge)
BUF Win: 52.2% (-109)
HOU Win: 47.8% (+109)
🏛️ Kalshi BUF: 49.5% (⚡+2.7% Edge)
🏛️ Kalshi HOU: 50.5% (⚡-2.7% Edge)
BUF EPA: Pass +0.2 • Rush +0.07
HOU EPA: Pass +0.16 • Rush -0.01
MIA @ LV • 9/13 - 4:25 PM EDT
📍 Allegiant Stadium (Dome)
⭐ BEST SPREAD 💎 BEST ML 🎯 SHARP MONEY -3.5 (+19.1% Handle) 🏛️ Kalshi LV 62.5% | ⚡+15.2%
Miami Dolphins
DraftKings ML: +154 • Net EPA: +0.052
20.0 - 19.1
Model Projected Score
Las Vegas Raiders
DraftKings ML: -185 • Net EPA: -0.012
Spread Market vs Model
👑 BEST BET
⭐ MIA +3.5
Mkt: LV -3.5 | Model: LV +0.9 (+4.4 pts Edge on MIA)
Game Total Points (O/U)
❄️ Neutral / Pass
Mkt: O/U 40.5 | Model: 39.1 (Aligned with Market)
Moneyline Model Pick
💎 BEST BET
💎 MIA ML (+154)
Fair Odds: -111 (+13.3% Edge)
🏛️ Kalshi: LV 62.5% (⚡-15.2% Model Edge)
MIA Win: 52.7% (-111)
LV Win: 47.3% (+111)
🏛️ Kalshi MIA: 37.5% (⚡+15.2% Edge)
🏛️ Kalshi LV: 62.5% (⚡-15.2% Edge)
📊 Public Betting Splits (Action Network • Yahoo Sports Consensus)
🎟️ % of Bets (Tickets) vs 💵 % of Money (Handle)
🛡️ Point Spread Splits
Miami +3.5 (-112)
🎟️ 55.2% Bets • 💵 36.1% Money
Las Vegas -3.5 (-107)
🎟️ 44.8% Bets • 💵 63.9% Money
🔥 Game Total (O/U) Splits
Over 40.5 (-109)
🎟️ 43.5% Bets • 💵 39.6% Money
Under 40.5 (-110)
🎟️ 56.5% Bets • 💵 60.4% Money
💎 Moneyline Splits
Miami ML (+155)
🎟️ 13.1% Bets • 💵 28.5% Money
Las Vegas ML (-190)
🎟️ 86.9% Bets • 💵 71.5% Money
MIA EPA: Pass +0.052 • Rush +0.012
LV EPA: Pass -0.012 • Rush -0.008
GB @ MIN • 9/13 - 4:25 PM EDT
📍 U.S. Bank Stadium (Dome)
⭐ BEST SPREAD 🔥 BEST TOTAL 💎 BEST ML 🏛️ Kalshi MIN 52.5% | ⚡+8.6%
Green Bay Packers
DraftKings ML: +102 • Net EPA: +0.15
27.0 - 25.0
Model Projected Score
Minnesota Vikings
DraftKings ML: -122 • Net EPA: +0.07
Spread Market vs Model
👑 BEST BET
⭐ GB +1.5
Mkt: MIN -1.5 | Model: MIN +2.0 (+3.5 pts Edge on GB)
Game Total Points (O/U)
🔥 BEST BET
🔥 OVER 46.5
Mkt: O/U 46.5 | Model: 52.0 (Model projects 52.0 (+5.5 pts Over))
Moneyline Model Pick
💎 BEST BET
💎 GB ML (+102)
Fair Odds: -128 (+6.6% Edge)
🏛️ Kalshi: MIN 52.5% (⚡-8.6% Model Edge)
GB Win: 56.1% (-128)
MIN Win: 43.9% (+128)
🏛️ Kalshi GB: 47.5% (⚡+8.6% Edge)
🏛️ Kalshi MIN: 52.5% (⚡-8.6% Edge)
📊 Public Betting Splits (Action Network • Yahoo Sports Consensus)
🎟️ % of Bets (Tickets) vs 💵 % of Money (Handle)
🛡️ Point Spread Splits
Green Bay +1.5 (-113)
🎟️ 33.2% Bets • 💵 33.8% Money
Minnesota -1.5 (-106)
🎟️ 66.8% Bets • 💵 66.2% Money
🔥 Game Total (O/U) Splits
Over 46.5 (-109)
🎟️ 10.8% Bets • 💵 13.1% Money
Under 46.5 (-111)
🎟️ 89.2% Bets • 💵 86.9% Money
💎 Moneyline Splits
Minnesota ML (-118)
🎟️ 49.1% Bets • 💵 42.7% Money
Green Bay ML (-101)
🎟️ 50.9% Bets • 💵 57.3% Money
GB EPA: Pass +0.15 • Rush +0.07
MIN EPA: Pass +0.07 • Rush 0.0
WSH @ PHI • 9/13 - 4:25 PM EDT
📍 Lincoln Financial Field (72°F, 8 mph wind)
⭐ BEST SPREAD 🔥 BEST TOTAL 💎 BEST ML 🎯 SHARP MONEY -4.5 (+15.7% Handle) 🏛️ Kalshi PHI 68.5% | ⚡+16.8%
Washington Commanders
DraftKings ML: +170 • Net EPA: +0.08
25.6 - 26.1
Model Projected Score
Philadelphia Eagles
DraftKings ML: -205 • Net EPA: +0.05
Spread Market vs Model
👑 BEST BET
⭐ WSH +4.5
Mkt: PHI -4.5 | Model: PHI -0.5 (+4.0 pts Edge on WSH)
Game Total Points (O/U)
🔥 BEST BET
🔥 OVER 44.5
Mkt: O/U 44.5 | Model: 51.7 (Model projects 51.7 (+7.2 pts Over))
Moneyline Model Pick
💎 BEST BET
💎 PHI ML (-205)
Fair Odds: -103 (-16.5% Edge)
🏛️ Kalshi: PHI 68.5% (⚡-17.8% Model Edge)
WSH Win: 49.3% (+103)
PHI Win: 50.7% (-103)
🏛️ Kalshi WSH: 32.5% (⚡+16.8% Edge)
🏛️ Kalshi PHI: 68.5% (⚡-17.8% Edge)
📊 Public Betting Splits (Action Network • Yahoo Sports Consensus)
🎟️ % of Bets (Tickets) vs 💵 % of Money (Handle)
🛡️ Point Spread Splits
Washington +5.5 (-115)
🎟️ 45.4% Bets • 💵 29.7% Money
Philadelphia -4.5 (-105)
🎟️ 54.6% Bets • 💵 70.3% Money
🔥 Game Total (O/U) Splits
Over 44.5 (-109)
🎟️ 17.8% Bets • 💵 17.1% Money
Under 44.5 (-110)
🎟️ 82.2% Bets • 💵 82.9% Money
💎 Moneyline Splits
Washington ML (+184)
🎟️ 6.0% Bets • 💵 7.4% Money
Philadelphia ML (-225)
🎟️ 94.0% Bets • 💵 92.6% Money
WSH EPA: Pass +0.08 • Rush +0.08
PHI EPA: Pass +0.05 • Rush +0.06
ARI @ LAC • 9/13 - 4:25 PM EDT
📍 SoFi Stadium (72°F, 8 mph wind)
⭐ BEST SPREAD 💎 BEST ML 🎯 SHARP MONEY -10.5 (+35.2% Handle) 🏛️ Kalshi LAC 82.5% | ⚡+37.0%
Arizona Cardinals
DraftKings ML: +410 • Net EPA: +0.07
24.4 - 22.7
Model Projected Score
Los Angeles Chargers
DraftKings ML: -550 • Net EPA: -0.01
Spread Market vs Model
👑 BEST BET
⭐ ARI +10.5
Mkt: LAC -10.5 | Model: LAC +1.7 (+12.2 pts Edge on ARI)
Game Total Points (O/U)
❄️ Neutral / Pass
Mkt: O/U 46.5 | Model: 47.1 (Aligned with Market)
Moneyline Model Pick
💎 BEST BET
💎 ARI ML (+410)
Fair Odds: -125 (+35.9% Edge)
🏛️ Kalshi: LAC 82.5% (⚡-38.0% Model Edge)
ARI Win: 55.5% (-125)
LAC Win: 44.5% (+125)
🏛️ Kalshi ARI: 18.5% (⚡+37.0% Edge)
🏛️ Kalshi LAC: 82.5% (⚡-38.0% Edge)
📊 Public Betting Splits (Action Network • Yahoo Sports Consensus)
🎟️ % of Bets (Tickets) vs 💵 % of Money (Handle)
🛡️ Point Spread Splits
Arizona +10.5 (-105)
🎟️ 58.3% Bets • 💵 23.1% Money
LA Chargers -10.5 (-115)
🎟️ 41.7% Bets • 💵 76.9% Money
🔥 Game Total (O/U) Splits
Over 47 (-113)
🎟️ 11.6% Bets • 💵 13.0% Money
Under 47 (-106)
🎟️ 88.5% Bets • 💵 87.0% Money
💎 Moneyline Splits
LA Chargers ML (-553)
🎟️ 95.7% Bets • 💵 85.8% Money
Arizona ML (+405)
🎟️ 4.3% Bets • 💵 14.2% Money
ARI EPA: Pass +0.07 • Rush +0.06
LAC EPA: Pass -0.01 • Rush 0.0
DAL @ NYG • 9/13 - 8:20 PM EDT
📍 MetLife Stadium (72°F, 8 mph wind)
💎 BEST ML 🎯 SHARP MONEY -2.5 (+57.8% Handle) 🏛️ Kalshi DAL 59.5% | ⚡+9.1%
Dallas Cowboys
DraftKings ML: -148 • Net EPA: +0.09
23.1 - 22.8
Model Projected Score
New York Giants
DraftKings ML: +124 • Net EPA: -0.02
Spread Market vs Model
⭐ NYG +2.5
Mkt: NYG +2.5 | Model: NYG +0.3 (+2.2 pts Edge on NYG)
Game Total Points (O/U)
❄️ UNDER 48.5
Mkt: O/U 48.5 | Model: 45.9 (Model projects 45.9 (-2.6 pts Under))
Moneyline Model Pick
💎 BEST BET
💎 DAL ML (-148)
Fair Odds: -102 (-9.3% Edge)
🏛️ Kalshi: DAL 59.5% (⚡-9.1% Model Edge)
DAL Win: 50.4% (-102)
NYG Win: 49.6% (+102)
🏛️ Kalshi DAL: 59.5% (⚡-9.1% Edge)
🏛️ Kalshi NYG: 40.5% (⚡+9.1% Edge)
📊 Public Betting Splits (Action Network • Yahoo Sports Consensus)
🎟️ % of Bets (Tickets) vs 💵 % of Money (Handle)
🛡️ Point Spread Splits
Dallas -2.5 (-118)
🎟️ 37.4% Bets • 💵 95.2% Money
NY Giants +2.5 (-102)
🎟️ 62.6% Bets • 💵 4.8% Money
🔥 Game Total (O/U) Splits
Over 48.5 (-105)
🎟️ 16.1% Bets • 💵 20.1% Money
Under 48.5 (-109)
🎟️ 83.9% Bets • 💵 79.9% Money
💎 Moneyline Splits
Dallas ML (-156)
🎟️ 87.0% Bets • 💵 89.4% Money
NY Giants ML (+129)
🎟️ 13.0% Bets • 💵 10.6% Money
DAL EPA: Pass +0.09 • Rush -0.06
NYG EPA: Pass -0.02 • Rush 0.0
DEN @ KC • 9/14 - 8:15 PM EDT
📍 Arrowhead Stadium (72°F, 8 mph wind)
⭐ BEST SPREAD 🔥 BEST TOTAL 💎 BEST ML 🎯 SHARP MONEY +3 (+19.7% Handle) 🏛️ Kalshi KC 56.5% | ⚡+12.5%
Denver Broncos
DraftKings ML: +124 • Net EPA: +0.05
23.1 - 29.7
Model Projected Score
Kansas City Chiefs
DraftKings ML: -148 • Net EPA: +0.22
Spread Market vs Model
👑 BEST BET
⭐ KC -3
Mkt: KC -3.0 | Model: KC -6.6 (+3.6 pts Edge on KC)
Game Total Points (O/U)
🔥 BEST BET
🔥 OVER 43.5
Mkt: O/U 43.5 | Model: 52.8 (Model projects 52.8 (+9.3 pts Over))
Moneyline Model Pick
💎 BEST BET
💎 KC ML (-148)
Fair Odds: -223 (+9.3% Edge)
🏛️ Kalshi: KC 56.5% (⚡+12.5% Model Edge)
DEN Win: 31.0% (+223)
KC Win: 69.0% (-223)
🏛️ Kalshi DEN: 44.5% (⚡-13.5% Edge)
🏛️ Kalshi KC: 56.5% (⚡+12.5% Edge)
📊 Public Betting Splits (Action Network • Yahoo Sports Consensus)
🎟️ % of Bets (Tickets) vs 💵 % of Money (Handle)
🛡️ Point Spread Splits
Denver +3 (-112)
🎟️ 57.6% Bets • 💵 77.3% Money
Kansas City -3 (-107)
🎟️ 42.4% Bets • 💵 22.7% Money
🔥 Game Total (O/U) Splits
Over 43.5 (-106)
🎟️ 31.9% Bets • 💵 29.2% Money
Under 43.5 (-111)
🎟️ 68.1% Bets • 💵 70.8% Money
💎 Moneyline Splits
Denver ML (+124)
🎟️ 27.8% Bets • 💵 12.8% Money
Kansas City ML (-151)
🎟️ 72.2% Bets • 💵 87.2% Money
DEN EPA: Pass +0.05 • Rush +0.02
KC EPA: Pass +0.22 • Rush +0.04
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